Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 2.670814 3.041760 3.435839 3.884624 4.380466 4.910469 5.518732
2024-12-22 2.001555 2.515010 3.103846 3.824205 4.676511 5.647477 6.831647
2024-12-29 1.635723 2.242156 2.985461 3.951497 5.160612 6.610102 8.463850
2025-01-05 1.364616 2.024066 2.881797 4.056798 5.599450 7.528869 10.093884
2025-01-12 1.111025 1.777778 2.695176 4.014671 5.823732 8.173323 11.404702
2025-01-19 0.951522 1.630489 2.612660 4.086642 6.183849 8.995578 12.973009
2025-01-26 0.819429 1.498932 2.529313 4.137556 6.504193 9.768712 14.503229
2025-02-02 0.714953 1.391567 2.463948 4.199426 6.832626 10.558662 16.083341
2025-02-09 0.613011 1.270499 2.359637 4.186047 7.040574 11.179625 17.446703
2025-02-16 0.518579 1.145846 2.232160 4.119099 7.154773 11.661408 18.623172
2025-02-23 0.456716 1.069815 2.174950 4.155418 7.423221 12.374417 20.155625
2025-03-02 0.391241 0.975135 2.072813 4.104458 7.544534 12.865429 21.373303
2025-03-09 0.350123 0.924649 2.047342 4.187060 7.895145 13.736696 23.220377
2025-03-16 0.303620 0.854492 1.977138 4.184862 8.105769 14.402357 24.787954
2025-03-23 0.281013 0.833631 1.999190 4.349986 8.607506 15.549395 27.142836
2025-03-30 0.256872 0.804594 2.001054 4.476488 9.048253 16.615731 29.410073
2025-04-06 0.220972 0.739186 1.919588 4.436267 9.191375 17.200774 30.934764
2025-04-13 0.199385 0.705974 1.901848 4.516798 9.552308 18.157135 33.084244
2025-04-20 0.178556 0.670250 1.873810 4.573137 9.870122 19.051368 35.160683
2025-04-27 0.160866 0.639445 1.852756 4.640772 10.210544 19.994738 37.345991
2025-05-04 0.140464 0.595564 1.795272 4.626455 10.393622 20.672207 39.110319
2025-05-11 0.119725 0.544969 1.714396 4.553854 10.458282 21.142707 40.539768
2025-05-18 0.106946 0.517229 1.686418 4.593329 10.741471 22.006139 42.656931